Changing Tides: What Opposition Gains Mean for the Kosovo–Serbia Dialogue summarizes the key insights from an informal discussion held on 21 May, examining how political developments in Kosovo and Serbia may shape the future of the normalization process. The discussion highlights the structural deadlock at the heart of the dialogue, the evolving positions of Prime Minister Albin Kurti and President Aleksandar Vučić, the role of opposition actors and Serbia’s student movement, and the deteriorating state of inter-community relations. While opposition forces on both sides have gained visibility, participants concluded that neither currently offers a coherent alternative capable of breaking the impasse, raising concerns that continued stagnation may further undermine the prospects for a sustainable settlement.
This report is based on the discussions, which were held under the Chatham House Rule. This report was made possible with support from the National Endowment for Democracy (NED). The opinions and views of the report does not necessarily stat or reflect the views of NSI, NED, or of individual participants. It is simply a brief summary of the discussions.
This policy brief is part of the project “Dialogue after Peace? A Gender Perspective on
Track Two Dialogues in Colombia, Kosovo, and the Philippines”, funded by the Swiss
Network for International Studies. The research inquired into women-led, informal
dialogue initiatives in these three post-agreement contexts and examined how these
contribute to sustaining and reimagining peace. Research in Kosovo was conducted
in partnership with New Social Initiative (NSI) and Artpolis, Pristina, and with Prof.
Vjollca Krasniqi of the University of Pristina. Six Focus Group Discussions and eight
individual interviews were conducted in September 2024 with a total of 40 women
participants in Pristina and North Mitrovica.
The KPDS Report 2025 summarizes key discussions and insights from the 4th Kosovo Peace and Democracy Summit, examining disinformation, democratic backsliding, and the role of dialogue and civil society in strengthening democratic resilience in the Western Balkan
Trade barriers are among the most common instruments of economic protectionism, but in politically unstable environments they become tools of political pressure. In Kosovo, this phenomenon is evident in the measures that local authorities in Pristina have introduced against goods from central Serbia. From the 100% tariffs imposed at the end of 2018 to the complete import ban in 2023, trade has been used as an instrument of political signaling rather than a neutral channel of economic exchange.1
The key problem lies in the fact that the measures directly affected the Serbian com- munity in Kosovo, which depends on a stable inflow of basic foodstuffs, medicines, and consumables. In practice, disruptions in supply chains have caused shortages, rising prices, and uncertainty in public services such as pharmacies and health cen- ters. Small shops, which form the backbone of the local economy, have faced clo- sure due to increased costs and uncertainty. These consequences are not short-term; rather, they create sustained pressure on the economic and social survival of the Ser- bian community.
This concerns thousands of citizens whose everyday lives depend on the availability of goods. If the problem is not resolved, there is a risk of irreversible consequences: the permanent loss of local trading networks, a deterioration in health due to shortag- es of medicines, and a heightened sense of isolation and insecurity. In the long term, this could weaken social cohesion and trust in any institutional processes.
The problem also goes beyond the local level. It encompasses the broader framework of regional integration (CEFTA, European processes), as well as trust in international actors mandated to oversee the implementation of agreements. If trade continues to be used as an instrument of politics, this undermines regional stability and every effort toward the normalization of relations.
This paper proceeds from the standpoint that trade must not be a means of politi- cal blackmail. It focuses on analyzing the mechanisms of the politicization of trade, identifying its economic, social, and political consequences, and formulating feasible recommendations that can provide a minimum of predictability and security for the Serbian community in Kosovo.
Lake Gazivode stands as one of the most critical yet contested resources in the West- ern Balkans. Supplying water, electricity, and ecological stability to communities in both Kosovo and Serbia, it embodies overlapping technical, political, and security dimen- sions. This paper examines the Gazivode problem as a convergence of political dead- lock, institutional ambiguity, infrastructural vulnerability, ecological fragility, and social dependence. Building on analyses by multiple sources the study maps the multi-layered challenges and evaluates possible pathways for sustainable management. Proposed solutions include short-term technical modernization under the supervision of neutral third parties, joint monitoring mechanisms that avoid the recognition trap, ecological cooperation through international platforms, scenario planning for crisis situations, and long-term, but currently aspirational, institutionalization. The paper argues that while no single solution is sufficient, combining technical improvements, ecological adaptation, and incremental confidence-building offers the best chance of transforming Gazivode from a potential flashpoint into a stabilizing resource.